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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2016-05-02T08:42:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2016-05-02T08:42Z
CME Note: The CME may have arrived on 2016-05-06T15:48Z. ACE magnetic field data shows a disturbance in form of a flux rope, plus density increased while the temperature decreased. Time of arrival is very rough.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2016-05-06T15:48Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-05-06T05:15Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 5.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -76037.13 hour(s)
Difference: 10.55 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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